Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.199285 0.279055 0.368855 0.475251 0.595952 0.726998 0.878508
2025-11-02 0.092642 0.188861 0.315199 0.481307 0.684789 0.918806 1.202027
2025-11-09 0.035289 0.120453 0.253660 0.445996 0.696053 0.995429 1.368612
2025-11-16 0.006911 0.069940 0.198555 0.405293 0.690445 1.044565 1.497328
2025-11-23 0.000154 0.043989 0.169641 0.392134 0.713611 1.123636 1.657198
2025-11-30 NaN 0.031096 0.158087 0.400989 0.763773 1.234884 1.855030
2025-12-07 NaN 0.018723 0.140483 0.396469 0.793003 1.317767 2.016717
2025-12-14 NaN 0.008223 0.117614 0.378495 0.800234 1.370186 2.139017
2025-12-21 NaN 0.006658 0.122049 0.408456 0.877180 1.514328 2.376775
2025-12-28 NaN 0.005466 0.126988 0.439150 0.955225 1.660064 2.616801
2026-01-04 NaN 0.003341 0.124762 0.455597 1.011652 1.776877 2.820189
2026-01-11 NaN 0.003435 0.135448 0.497309 1.106500 1.945464 3.089803
2026-01-18 NaN 0.002721 0.141103 0.531225 1.192912 2.107246 3.356820
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000910 0.133426 0.538177 1.238628 2.215195 3.556667
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.106281 0.500552 1.212961 2.224625 3.628763
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.079825 0.457268 1.174719 2.214489 3.673827
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.067427 0.443229 1.181674 2.265510 3.797055
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.064459 0.452674 1.227254 2.370580 3.991035
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.056843 0.447854 1.248234 2.440621 4.138824
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.045409 0.428673 1.243419 2.473291 4.236818
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.050302 0.460632 1.327553 2.633431 4.503926
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.055437 0.493301 1.412972 2.795508 4.773748
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.055799 0.510779 1.471960 2.919787 4.993576